November 20, 2007
The top three Democratic presidential contenders remain locked in a close battle in Iowa, with Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton (N.Y.) seeing her advantages diminish on key issues, including the questions of experience and which candidate is best prepared to handle the war in Iraq, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News Poll.Sen. Barack Obama (Ill.) draws support from 30 percent of likely Democratic caucus-goers in Iowa, compared with 26 percent for Clinton and 22 percent for former senator John Edwards (N.C.). New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson received 11 percent. The results are only marginally different from a Post-ABC poll in late July, but in a state likely to set the tone for the rest of the nominating process, there are significant signs of progress for Obama -- and harbingers of concern for Clinton.
Let's remember what happened in Iowa in 2004 – the victory by John Kerry shot down frontrunner Howard Dean and propelled the Massachusetts Senator to the nomination. How much momentum would a victory by Obama give the Illinois Senator – and how much harm would it do the current frontrunner? Could that early victory – combined with the front-loading of the nominating process, be the force that destroys the chances of the former First Lady to claim the office once held by her philandering husband? Only time will tell.
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