We have, after all, heard alarmist predictions each year since 2005. Neither of those predictions has panned out. I'll remain a skeptic on this one.

The noted Colorado State University forecast team expects an above-average Atlantic hurricane season and may raise its prediction of 13 tropical storms and seven hurricanes when it updates its outlook next week, the team's founder Bill Gray said Wednesday.

La Nina cool-water conditions in the Pacific and higher sea surface temperatures in the eastern Atlantic are contributing to enhanced conditions for hurricane activity, Gray told Reuters at the U.S. National Hurricane Conference.

"We're expecting an above average season," Gray said. "The big question we have is, are we going to raise the numbers from our December forecast? We might."

This is the same "noted forecast team" that has made the alarmist predictions each of the last two years -- and which under-predicted 2005. It strikes me that they are noted because the are great at hyping themselves, not because they are accurate.

Posted by: Greg at 10:16 PM | No Comments | Add Comment
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